Potensi Untung Dan Risiko Investasi di Pasar Bearish

The Risks and Rewards of Investing in a Bear Market By Justin Fox Thursday, Oct. 23,   Benjamin Graham was well prepared for the Crash of 1929. The now legendary investor had hedged his bets: he would buy preferred stock in a company and sell short common stock in the same company. When stocks crashed [...]

Warren Buffet Belanja

Dari NYT. Buy American. I Am. By WARREN E. BUFFETT Published: October 16, 2008 Omaha THE financial world is a mess, both in the United States and abroad. Its problems, moreover, have been leaking into the general economy, and the leaks are now turning into a gusher. In the near term, unemployment will rise, business [...]

S&P US Economic Outlook

How Low Can We Go? Projections are a stock in trade for economists. Here are Standard & Poor’s. By David Wyss From Standard & Poor’s Equity Research The economy will likely suffer a moderate, but long recession, and a sluggish recovery, according to S&P Economics. From the December 2007 peak to a trough in May [...]

Strategi Opsi (Options) Saat VIX – Implied Volatility Diatas 70%

Akhir2 ini Dow Jones, S&P ataupun Nasdaq bergerak sangat fluktuatif. Akibatnya, implied volatility (IV) naik drastis ke lebih dari 70%. Biasanya, disituasi yang demikian, jika anda baca buku2 options, kebanyakan akan merekomendasikan strategi selling options: positive theta, negative gamma atau negative vega. untuk memanfaatkan IV yang tinggi tersebut. Masalahnya, walapun IV tinggi, pergerakkan harganya pun [...]

Alternatif Energy – Lebih Murah Dari Batu Bara?

Teknologi berbasis nano tampaknya tidak lama lagi bisa banyak membantu mengurangi krisis energi dunia. Yang jelas, dana2 modal ventura mulai banyak mengalir ke industri baru berbasis nano ini, persis seperti yang terjadi pada industri internet di awal tahun 1990an. Thin Film Solar Power – Cheaper than Coal ? Thin film solar company Nanosolar has now [...]

Bill Gross On Capitalism

Nothing to Fear but McFear Itself A Simple Explanation We are to the point of fearing fear itself. America in all its resplendent free market capitalistic glory is on the auction block with few bidders. How this came to be is obvious in retrospect: too much exuberant leverage, not enough regulation; too strong a belief [...]

Kanker Otak Dan Matematika

OOT, dari Forbes. Can Math Cure Cancer? Robert Langreth 10.02.08, 6:00 PM ET Forbes Magazine dated October 27, 2008 Kristin Swanson The 200 Best Small Companies Pockets of Prosperity Hard Charger Complete Contents Radical researchers aim to customize cancer treatment with computer simulations. In her laboratory at the University of Washington, mathematician Kristin Rae Swanson [...]

Pemerintah AS Bisa Untung Besar (Dari Bail Out Plan)

Dari WSJ. SEPTEMBER 25, 2008 The Paulson Plan Will Make Money For Taxpayers By ANDY KESSLER In 1992, hedge-fund manager George Soros made $1 billion betting against the British pound. In 2007, John Paulson’s Credit Opportunities fund correctly bet against subprime mortgages, clearing $15 billion for the year and $3.7 billion for him. Warren Buffett [...]

VAR, Black Swan, Fat Tails, Krisis dan Kelemahan Model Finance

The 1% Panic Our financial models were only meant to work 99% of the time. By L. GORDON CROVITZ The Panic of 2008 is a crisis of trust. Investors don’t trust the value of bad debts enough to offer market-clearing prices. Banks don’t trust one another to stay in business long enough to do business [...]

October 2008 Crash: What History Tells Us About the Market

Dari WSJ. The breathtakingly volatile week has left investors numb. A close study of the Great Crash, and the decades that followed, offers some unnerving context, and some reasons for optimism. By JASON ZWEIG OCTOBER 11, 2008 July 9, 1932 was a day Wall Street would never wish to relive. The Dow Jones Industrial Average [...]